Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004950 0.005223 0.005503 0.005814 0.006149 0.006501 0.006897
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004467 0.004870 0.005304 0.005809 0.006381 0.007012 0.007766
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004136 0.004608 0.005132 0.005761 0.006499 0.007345 0.008397
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003848 0.004359 0.004938 0.005651 0.006511 0.007527 0.008833
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003623 0.004160 0.004782 0.005563 0.006528 0.007698 0.009247
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003483 0.004050 0.004718 0.005573 0.006654 0.007998 0.009829
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003254 0.003819 0.004493 0.005369 0.006496 0.007922 0.009909
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003157 0.003742 0.004452 0.005389 0.006617 0.008207 0.010477
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003128 0.003748 0.004511 0.005536 0.006907 0.008723 0.011390
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003007 0.003631 0.004408 0.005465 0.006901 0.008837 0.011741
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002917 0.003550 0.004346 0.005444 0.006957 0.009034 0.012220
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002820 0.003455 0.004262 0.005388 0.006962 0.009156 0.012591
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002782 0.003438 0.004281 0.005474 0.007171 0.009586 0.013464
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002711 0.003374 0.004235 0.005468 0.007249 0.009829 0.014066
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002631 0.003294 0.004164 0.005424 0.007267 0.009981 0.014531
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002535 0.003191 0.004057 0.005323 0.007195 0.009990 0.014759
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002452 0.003102 0.003967 0.005242 0.007149 0.010034 0.015045
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002404 0.003060 0.003940 0.005251 0.007238 0.010292 0.015711
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002293 0.002927 0.003782 0.005063 0.007016 0.010045 0.015479
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002256 0.002896 0.003766 0.005081 0.007114 0.010315 0.016181
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002258 0.002919 0.003827 0.005217 0.007400 0.010907 0.017514
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002197 0.002852 0.003756 0.005152 0.007363 0.010960 0.017846
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002153 0.002807 0.003717 0.005132 0.007398 0.011133 0.018419